BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 38 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength = 91.04
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/04/2021 Home W 75.47 35 14 1B 101 ( 3- 8) Lafayette -13.47 * 34.47
2 09/11/2021 Away W 98.52 23 3 1A 94 ( 3- 8) Navy 9.58 10.42
3 09/18/2021 Home L * 75.26 45 49 1A 70 ( 9- 3) Utah St -13.67 9.67
4 09/25/2021 Home W 97.93 31 7 1A 89 ( 5- 7) Florida Atlantic 9.00 15.00
5 10/02/2021 Away W * 93.26 38 10 1A 124 ( 3- 9) New Mexico 4.33 23.67
6 10/09/2021 Home W * 84.98 24 14 1A 86 ( 6- 6) Wyoming -3.95 13.95
7 10/16/2021 Away W * 102.00 24 17 1A 29 ( 7- 5) Boise St 13.07 -6.07
8 10/23/2021 Home L * 79.29 14 20 1A 50 ( 11- 1) San Diego St -9.65 3.65
9 11/06/2021 Neutral L 80.65 14 21 1A 37 ( 8- 3) Army -8.28 1.28
10 11/13/2021 Away W * 92.72 35 21 1A 93 ( 3- 9) Colorado St 3.79 10.21
11 11/19/2021 Away W * 94.06 41 39 1A 44 ( 8- 4) Nevada 5.12 -3.12
12 11/26/2021 Home W * 102.80 48 14 1A 108 ( 2- 10) UNLV 13.87 20.13
Averages 89.75 31.0 19.1
Best game: 102.80 = 34 point win over UNLV
Worst game: 75.26 = 4 point loss to Utah St
Team stdev: 10.15